Every exhibition and scrimmage we found, how much each one predicts, and what it did to our ratings.
Right = better matchup (weaker team's rank). Up = the team our number favored won by more than expected; down = the underdog beat expectations. Bigger, darker = more predictive. Hover or tap a dot for the game.
Value = format (public 1, closed ½) × full rotations (½ if a key player sat) × matchup strength (weaker team's rank) × how close our number expected it × source.
"vs no." = how far the winner beat (green) or trailed (red) our number.
Every number on this sheet, updated every night all season. Use code CBB at checkout.
Get 50% off with code CBBRatings are points per 100 possessions. A public exhibition moves a rating 0.084 per point of surprise and a closed scrimmage 0.042, 70% of the weight measured on 114 October 2025 exhibitions. Each game's surprise is capped at 20 points and each team's total move at 2.8. Only margins are used; preseason scoring and pace are ignored. Sources: school box scores and recaps, media reports, exhibition trackers.